[1]戴亚娟,杨正勇.基于层次分析法的大菱鲆工厂化养殖风险评估[J].黑龙江农业科学,2012,(01):67-70.
DAI Ya-juan,YANG Zheng-yong.Risk Assessment of Turbot Factory Farming on AHP[J].HEILONGJIANG AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES,2012,(01):67-70.
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DAI Ya-juan,YANG Zheng-yong.Risk Assessment of Turbot Factory Farming on AHP[J].HEILONGJIANG AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES,2012,(01):67-70.
基于层次分析法的大菱鲆工厂化养殖风险评估
《黑龙江农业科学》[ISSN:1002-2767/CN:23-1204/S]
卷:
期数:
2012年01
页码:
67-70
栏目:
出版日期:
2012-01-10
- Title:
- Risk Assessment of Turbot Factory Farming on AHP
- 文章编号:
- 1002-2767（2012）01-0067-04
- Keywords:
- turbot; factory farming; sea farming; AHP; risk assessment
- 分类号:
- F316.4
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 水产养殖过程中面临诸多的风险，为了量化水产养殖风险中的影响因素，评估风险等级，有效规避风险，以山东地区大菱鲆工厂化养殖为例，从自然、市场、操作和政策４个方面，运用层次分析法，建立风险评价指标体系，通过问卷调查的方式，基于专家调查法，对各风险因素的影响程度打分，分析和反馈专家意见，整理和分析获得的数据资料。结果表明：当前大菱鲆工厂化养殖风险为BB等级，养殖风险较高，其中市场价格的风险影响最大，饲料价格、病害和环境污染成为较严重的风险因素。最后，分别从养殖单位、政府机构以及水产养殖行业三方面提出相应的措施建议。面对养殖中危害较大的自然风险和市场风险，对于大菱鲆养殖户而言，把握市场行情，通过多种渠道获得市场供求信息而做出生产销售决策，可以有效避免市场价格波动带来的损失。从政府层面来看，可以通过推动水产养殖政策性保险的实施，及时发布市场供求信息，合理规划养殖规模，控制养殖产量，有效降低风险给养殖单位带来的损害。从海水养殖行业角度看，环境污染、病害以及持续上涨的饲料价格成为养殖行业普遍存在的隐患。海水养殖行业需以技术更新为重任，从养殖生产技术、疫苗防治、鱼粉替代品研发等方面，全面提高水产养殖技术，规避行业面临的养殖风险。
- Abstract:
- To quantify the influencing factors of aquaculture risk，assess the level of risk，and avoid risk effectively，factory farm of turbot farming was taken as example.In terms of nature environment，market，operation and policy，the evaluation indicators of risk analysis was built applying the method of AHP，and analyzed the data from questionnaire survey.It turned out that the level of turbot factory farming was BB，and the biggest influence factor was the price of the production，while the price of feed，diseases and the pollution from the environment were also the serious aspects.In the end，some proposals in views of aquatic farmers，government and aquaculture industry were given.Facing the huge risks from nature and market，farmers need to hold to the market，and to gain market supply and demand information through various channels and to make production sales decisions which could effectively avoid the loss of market price fluctuations.From the government aspect，propelling through the implementation of aquaculture policy-related insurance，timely releasing market supply and demand information，and rational planning of breeding scale，controlling breeding production could reduce the risk to breeding unit brings damage.From the perspective of seawater aquaculture industry，environment pollution，disease and rising feed prices become breeding industry widespread hidden trouble.Mariculture industry need to update technology from breeding for task，and enhance the research in the respect of production technology，vaccines prevention and fishmeals substitutes to evade aquaculture technology risk of breeding from the industry.
参考文献/References:
[1]
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大菱鲆的引进和新型养殖产业的发展
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[2]雷霁霖,马爱军,陈超,等.大菱鲆(ScoPhthalmus maximus.L.)养殖现状与可持续发展[J].中国工程科学,2005,7(5):30-34. [3]雷霁霖,门强,王印庚,等.大菱鲆“温室大棚+深井海水”工厂化养殖模式[J].海洋水产研究,2002,23(4):1-6. [4]农业部渔业局.中国渔业统计年鉴[M].北京：中国农业出版社,2009. [5]甘应爱,田丰，李维铮,等.运筹学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2005.
备注/Memo
基金项目：现代农业产业技术体系建设专项资金资助项目（nycytx-50）第一作者简介：戴亚娟（1985-），女，江苏省如东县人，在读硕士，从事农业和渔业经济研究。E-mail：dyjcherry@126.com。通讯作者：杨正勇（1969-），男，彝族，云南省云县人，教授，从事水产养殖经济、资源与环境经济研究。E-mail:chinastar807@163.com。
更新日期/Last Update:
2014-10-25