[1]卢玢宇,裴占江,史风梅,等.黑龙江省近30年气候变化特征分析[J].黑龙江农业科学,2019,(05):19-26.[doi:10.11942/j.issn1002-2767.2019.05.0019]
　LU Bin-yu,PEI Zhan-jiang,SHI Feng-mei,et al.Analysis on Characteristics of Climate Change in Heilongjiang Province in Recent 30 Years[J].HEILONGJIANG AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES,2019,(05):19-26.[doi:10.11942/j.issn1002-2767.2019.05.0019]
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黑龙江省近30年气候变化特征分析

《黑龙江农业科学》[ISSN:1002-2767/CN:23-1204/S] 卷: 期数: 2019年05期 页码: 19-26 栏目: 出版日期: 2019-05-10
Title:
Analysis on Characteristics of Climate Change in Heilongjiang Province in Recent 30 Years
作者:
卢玢宇; 裴占江; 史风梅; 高亚冰; 徐红涛; 左辛; 王栗; 刘杰
黑龙江省农业科学院 农村能源与环保研究所,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150086
Author(s):
LU Bin-yu; PEI Zhan-jiang; SHI Feng-mei; GAO Ya-bing; XU Hong-tao; ZUO Xin; WANG Su; LIU Jie
Institute of Rural Energy Environmental Protection,Heilongjiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Harbin 150086,China
关键词:
气候变化; 气候倾向率; 小波分析; 黑龙江省
Keywords:
climate change;  climate tend rate;  wavelet analysis;  Heilongjiang Province
DOI:
10.11942/j.issn1002-2767.2019.05.0019
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为揭示黑龙江省1986-2015年的气候变化规律，通过线性倾向率和小波分析等方法，研究分析了1986-2015年黑龙江省年平均温度和年降水量的时空变化特征。结果表明：黑龙江省1986-2015年气温上升率为0.12 ℃·10 a-1，降水量上升率为4.31 mm·10 a-1；从南向北温度依次递减；以尚志市为中心，降水量向四周逐渐递减；温度主要存在16 a的主周期和6 a、26 a的变化周期，预测可知2016-2018年的年平均气温呈逐年递减趋势；年降水量存在6、16和27 a 三个主周期，拟合可知2016-2018年的年降水量呈逐年递减趋势，同时黑龙江省的年气温和降水量变化整体平稳，不存在显著性突变时间点。
Abstract:
The spatial and temporal variations of annual mean air temperature and precipitation in Heilongjiang Province during the past 1986-2015 years was analyzed.The climate change characteristics of Heilongjiang Province from 1986 to 2015 were revealed by using the linear tendency rate and wavelet analysis methods.The results showed that,in the past 1986-2015 years in Heilongjiang Province,the annual mean temperature increased at the trend rate of 0.12 ℃·10 a-1,and the annual precipitation increased at the rate of 4.31 mm·10 a-１.The temperature in Heilongjiang decreases in sequence from the south to north,showing the obvious latitudinal zonality.The precipitation shows distinct characteristics of longitude,which is centered on Shangzhi City,and gradually diminished outward.The annual mean air temperature in Heilongjiang Province from 1986 to 2015 had characteristics of significant multi-time scale,and the main cycle scales were 16 years with the change periods of 6 a and 26 a.The annual precipitation time series has three main periods: 6 a,16 a and 27 a.Furthermore,it is predicted that annual mean air temperature and precipitation from 2016 to 2018 will be declining year by year.The annual variation of air temperature and precipitation in Heilongjiang Province are overall stable,and there is no significant mutation time point.

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备注/Memo

收稿日期：2018-11-26

基金项目：中国清洁发展机制基金（2014101）；国家“十三五”重点研发计划课题（2016YFD0501403）；哈尔滨市科技局青年后备人才项目（RC2017QN002097）；黑龙江省农业科学院院级课题（2017ZC07）。
第一作者简介：卢玢宇（1983-），女，博士，助理研究员，从事气候变化及环境污染研究。E-mail：lubinyu2004@163.com。
通讯作者：刘杰（1974-），男，博士,研究员,从事生态农业和气候变化研究。E-mail：Liujie1677@126.com。

更新日期/Last Update: 2019-06-12