YU Ai-hua,LIU Hua.Analysis on Fertility Willingness and Influencing Factors of Two-child by New Generation of Migrant Workers Under New Policy of the Universal Two-child[J].HEILONGJIANG AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES,2019,(08):134-140.[doi:10.11942/j.issn1002-2767.2019.08.0134]
全面二孩新政下新生代农民工二孩生育意愿及影响因素分析
- Title:
-
Analysis on Fertility Willingness and Influencing Factors of Two-child by New Generation of Migrant Workers Under New Policy of the Universal Two-child
- Keywords:
- new generation of migrant workers; two-child policy; fertility desire; family division of labor; social integration
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 新生代农民工已经成为我国农村流动人口的主体，且正处于婚育期，研究新生代农民工二孩生育意愿有助于了解全面二孩新政下影响新生代农民工二孩生育意愿的主导原因。本文以南京市为例，对已经生育一孩的新生代农民工进行问卷调查，了解其自身基本特征、经济特征和社会融入特征，运用Probit模型对新生代二孩生育意愿的影响因素进行回归分析。结果表明：二孩的经济负担是新生代农民工在进行二孩生育决策中考虑的首要因素，生育的性别偏好、独生属性和家庭的分工模式对二孩生育意愿有显著影响。最后，从社会保障、妇婴保健、政策宣传等方面提出相应的建议。
- Abstract:
- The new generation of migrant workers has become the main part of the rural migrant population in China,and is in the period of marriage and childbearing. Studying the reproductive intention of the new generation of migrant workers′ second child will help us to understand the main reasons that affect the reproductive intention of the new generation of migrant workers’ second child under the new comprehensive two-child policy.Taking Nanjing City as an example,this paper conducted a questionnaire survey on the new generation of migrant workers who had given birth to one child,to understand their basic characteristics,economic characteristics and social integration characteristics,and used Probit model to analyze the influencing factors of the new generation of two-child fertility intention. The results showed that the economic burden of the second child was the most important factor for the new generation of migrant workers to consider in the decision-making of the second child. The sex preference of the second child,the only child attribute and the division of labor mode of the family had a significant impact on the second child’s fertility intention. Finally,we put forward corresponding suggestions from the aspects of social security,maternal and child health care,policy publicity and so on.
参考文献/References:
［1］张霞,夏巧娟.生育意愿与生育率研究进展[J].经济学动态,2018(12):108-120.
备注/Memo
收稿日期：2019-03-21