CHEN Lei,MA Weida,ZHANG Chuanhui.Interaction Between Agricultural Mechanization and Farmers′ Income in Xinjiang[J].HEILONGJIANG AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES,2023,(01):103-107,123.[doi:10.11942/j.issn1002-2767.2023.01.0103]
新疆农业机械化与农民收入互动关系研究
- Title:
- Interaction Between Agricultural Mechanization and Farmers′ Income in Xinjiang
- Keywords:
- agricultural mechanization; farmers′ income; VAR model
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 为促进新疆农业现代化发展，以新疆维吾尔自治区1995-2020年的时间序列数据为例，通过构建VAR分别探讨农业机械化水平和农民经营性收入、工资性收入之间的关系。分析发现，在长期内农业机械化对农民经营性收入有显著性影响；在5%的显著性水平下，农业机械化与农民工资性收入不存在因果关系；但是农业机械化与农民经营性收入存在单向因果关系，即农业机械化的提高会导致农民经营性收入的增加；方差分解结果表明，当期的农民经营性收入基本由自身贡献，但是从第10期开始，农业机械化对农民经营性收入的贡献率便开始了反超，但两者的贡献率相差不大。建议加大农机补贴力度，推进农业机械化发展；宣传和培训相结合，提升农民使用农机的积极性。
- Abstract:
- To promote the development of agricultural modernization in Xinjiang. Taking the time series data of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region from 1995 to 2020 as an example， this paper discussed the relationship between agricultural mechanization level and farmers′ operating income and wage income by constructing VAR. The analysis showed that agricultural mechanization had a significant impact on farmers′ operating income in the long run; At 5% significance level， there was no causal relationship between agricultural mechanization and farmers′ wage income; However， there was a single causal relationship between agricultural mechanization and farmers′ operating income， that is， the improvement of agricultural mechanization will lead to the increase of farmers′ operating income; The variance results showed that the farmers′ operating income in the current period was basically contributed by themselves， but since the 10th period， the contribution rate of agricultural mechanization to the farmers′ living standard had begun to exceed， but the difference between the two was not significant. Suggestions: increase agricultural machinery subsidies to promote the development of agricultural mechanization; Publicity and training should be combined to enhance farmers′ enthusiasm for using agricultural machinery.
参考文献/References:
［1］习近平.关于“三农”工作论述摘编[M].北京：重要文献出版社，2019.
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备注/Memo
收稿日期：2022-09-22